{"id":12472,"date":"2020-03-14T20:12:09","date_gmt":"2020-03-15T00:12:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.renthop.com\/content-manager\/?p=12472"},"modified":"2020-03-14T20:13:37","modified_gmt":"2020-03-15T00:13:37","slug":"airbnb-cancellation-policy-and-arbitrage-collapse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.renthop.com\/blog\/airbnb-cancellation-policy-and-arbitrage-collapse\/","title":{"rendered":"AirBnb Cancellation Policy And Arbitrage Collapse?"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>Absolutely brutal&#8230; but it is the right thing to do. No guest should need to worry about traveling just to prevent a forfeiture of their deposits. No host should compel a guest to take health risks, or be forced to stay open against their will. Hats off to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.renthop.com\/blog\/2020\/03\/will-airbnb-delay-their-ipo-due-to-coronavirus\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" aria-label=\"Airbnb putting safety over profits (opens in a new tab)\">Airbnb putting safety over profits<\/a>.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>\u00a0<br \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-10201\" src=\"https:\/\/www.renthop.com\/content-manager\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/03\/image.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"551\" height=\"350\" \/><\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>But what next? There are a few obvious conclusions in the coming months.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Sharing Economy Highly Leveraged<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>For years, professional hosts have cropped up, leasing apartments and condos everywhere and converting them into vacation rentals (sometimes legally, sometimes less so). It seemed like an arbitrage that couldn&#8217;t lose. Rent a nice apartment for $1500 a month. Airbnb it for $100 per night. If you can fill it even 70% of the nights, you come out way ahead, right?<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Economies of Scale Means Operational Leverage<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Unfortunately, life isn&#8217;t so simple. Hosts quickly realize that running one unit on Airbnb doesn&#8217;t really amount to much of a side hustle &#8211; after dealing with key drops, furnishing, cleaning. and listings management, the margins are quite thin and the labor much more intensive than the mythical 4-hour workweek.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>\u00a0<br \/><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-large wp-image-10201\" src=\"https:\/\/images-eu.ssl-images-amazon.com\/images\/I\/51WG1ysCZjL.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"351\" height=\"150\" \/><\/p>\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>Many Airbnb operations require a portfolio of many units &#8211; that way the cleaning costs, inventory management, maintenance, and guest support operations can all be lumped together and shared. Also, nightly rates are never constant day-to-day. There are high demands days and low demand days, not always easy to forecast. A manager who can track multiple listings is in a much better position to react and change prices and maximize utilization rates. Finally, since reviews matter, a manager with multiple units can quickly earn Superhost and favorable status within the system.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Arbitragers Chase Thinning Margins<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>But how does someone manage many units? They probably need to over-extend themselves by accumulating lots of lease arbitrages, or finding outside investors, or become management-for-hire services. When the occupancy and revenues drop, all of those situations very quickly become fragile. Over the past 5 years, vacation hosting has become a very crowded trade &#8211; much like co-working spaces trying to replicate the WeWork model!<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Stop paying the underlying landlord and risk legal trouble. Stop performing and you lose units to manage. When the well-oiled machine requires occupancy and utilization rates above 85%, a sudden demand shock will be orders of magnitude worse than even the most off-peak season.<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\r\n\r\n<p><strong>Upside Down Unit Economics<\/strong><\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Go back to that $1500 lease charging $100 a night. Most urban arbitrage hosts need at least 70% occupancy to break even after expenses. When bookings drop to 50% occupancy, they make nothing. In fact, they need to work hard just to lose money on cleaning, utilities, and furniture &#8211; providing the hospitality effectively at below cost to the guest.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>How about a global lockdown due to Covid-19? You could go completely empty for months, owing $1500 monthly to the landlord, $300 in other expenses, while earning nothing. And that&#8217;s per unit! What about the people who have &#8220;gone pro&#8221; earning $10,000 of &#8220;passive income&#8221; per month? Yikes&#8230;<\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Absolutely brutal&#8230; but it is the right thing to do. No guest should need to worry about traveling just to prevent a forfeiture of their deposits. No host should compel a guest to take health risks, or be forced to stay open against their will. Hats off to Airbnb putting safety over profits. \u00a0 But [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":12488,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_lmt_disableupdate":"yes","_lmt_disable":"no","footnotes":""},"categories":[153],"tags":[190,388,387,97,371],"class_list":{"0":"post-12472","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-entrepreneurship","8":"tag-airbnb","9":"tag-coronavirus","10":"tag-covid-19","11":"tag-landlords","12":"tag-short-term"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v22.4 (Yoast SEO v23.9) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>AirBnb Cancellation Policy And Arbitrage Collapse? - Real Estate Topics, Tips, and Guides<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.renthop.com\/blog\/airbnb-cancellation-policy-and-arbitrage-collapse\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"AirBnb Cancellation Policy And Arbitrage Collapse?\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Absolutely brutal&#8230; but it is the right thing to do. No guest should need to worry about traveling just to prevent a forfeiture of their deposits. No host should compel a guest to take health risks, or be forced to stay open against their will. 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