{"id":11409,"date":"2019-11-21T18:31:48","date_gmt":"2019-11-21T23:31:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.renthop.com\/content-manager\/?p=11409"},"modified":"2019-11-21T18:32:40","modified_gmt":"2019-11-21T23:32:40","slug":"is-wework-default-dead-or-default-alive","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.renthop.com\/blog\/is-wework-default-dead-or-default-alive\/","title":{"rendered":"Is WeWork Default Dead or Default Alive?"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n

Previously we talked about How Not To Die as a real estate agent<\/a>. Another infamous Paul Graham term is “Default Alive or Default Dead<\/a>“. It sounds extremely harsh and morbid, but that’s part of the point. Calling a company Default Dead should trigger some alarm bells.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

WeWork today announced layoffs<\/a>, cutting 2400 jobs in an attempt to stabilize the company and reach sustainability. Lets do some back-of-the-envelope math to see whether WeWork is likely Default Alive.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

According to Glassdoor, they will save an average of $69K per community manager and $120K per software engineer. Most of the layoffs are probably community manager types, but we can be generous. Assume a high $150K average fully loaded cost of each employee, given all the expensive benefits (and ironically, co-working space).<\/p>\r\n\r\n

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From the infamous S-1 filing<\/a> prior to the failed IPO, WeWork was on track to make $3.0 Billion in revenues for 2019. Unfortunately, it seems WeWork is still Default Dead. Operating expenses are at least $3.8 Billion, even if we immediately exclude pre-opening, “growth and new market development”, and depreciation expenses. Operationally they are still $800M in the hole, with the job cuts saving at best $360M less severance, pre-committed leases, and lawsuits.<\/p>\r\n\r\n

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To be Default Alive, the cuts need to be more than twice as large, or expect to grow gross profits by at least 15% with the remaining staff and resources.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n

 <\/p>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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